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David Rohde, New York Times journalist, was held hostage for seven months by the Taliban in Afghanistan and Pakistan. He lived to tell the tale. His story reads like a novel and offers rare insights into the most dangerous place in the world. The video is available here.
 
 
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Source: CFR.com
In the continuing dialogue between PBOM and Garrett, I’ll address Pakistan policy. I prefer the term “policy” to “strategy.” It makes a clear distinction between our strategies in Iraq and Afghanistan vs our efforts to work with Pakistan. Thankfully, America does not occupy Pakistan and does not control its security services. Pakistan is a sovereign nation and it behooves us to remember this.

With that in mind, my guiding principles for U.S. policy Pakistan are twofold: humility and a focus on popular opinion.

Humility in the sense that Pakistan, like every other country, only takes actions that are in its perceived self-interest.  America’s influence and aid dollars only go so far- the rules of state behavior still apply.

A focus on Pakistani popular opinion is the second principle.  In the long-term, generals and politicians need popular support to wage war. This is even more important when fighting a terrorist counter-insurgency.  Terrorists are not fighting the army—they can never defeat an army in war. They are instead fighting against the will of the population to sacrifice their children and their money to the war effort.

Click "Read More" to Continue ----> 

 
 
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David Ignatius provides rare insight into Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence directorate and its view on the war in Afghanistan: 

In the ISI's view, America makes a mistake in thinking it must solve every problem on its own. In Afghanistan, it should work with President Hamid Karzai, who, for all his imperfections, has one essential quality that American strategist lack -- he's an Afghan. ISI officials suggest that Karzai should capitalize on the post-election ferment by calling for a cease-fire so that he can forma broadly based government that includes some Taliban representatives.   
 
 
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Map of Pakistan by Stratfor
Read the entire piece when you have time. Here is a snippet about the underreported Baloch insurgency in Pakistan:

Balochistan is Pakistan's largest province, comprising 48 percent of its territory and sharing a long border with southern Afghanistan; but it is a land of rugged mountains and deserts, with a population of only 12 million people. Ever since Pakistan's creation in 1947, the Baloch tribes have been in revolt against what they see as the chauvinism and denial of their rights by the Pakistani army in favor of Punjab, the country's most populous province, with 86 million people.

In five major insurgencies against the army, the Baloch have demanded greater autonomy, royalties for the province's gas, development funds, and genuine political representation. The fifth insurgency began in 2005 and has intensified because of the brutal repression and hundreds of "disappearances" of Baloch nationalists, for which the army under former President Pervez Musharraf was responsible.
 
Click "Read More" to Continue ------>

 
 
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Uncle Hamid Wants You!
The answer, surprisingly, is incumbent and New Delhi favorite Hamid Karzai.

On the surface, the incredible expansion of Indian influence in Afghanistan during Karzai's tenure seems to pose a threat to Pakistan's perceived interest. Since 2001 India has given Afghanistan $1.2 billion in development assistance for projects ranging from the construction of a new parliament building in Kabul to the education of Afghan bureaucrats in India. Moreover, Karzai has a long history of personal connections to India stretching back to his college days at Himachal Pradesh University.

Lest we forget, in 2008 Pakistani intelligence backed an attack on the Indian Embassy in Kabul in a desperate attempt to impede India's growing influence in Kabul. Why would the Pakistani government refrain from interfering with Karzai's reelection bid this time around?

The answer is simple: The Zardari administration, in contrast to the Musharraf administration, values stability in Afghanistan over influence.  

"From a Pakistan perspective, an Afghanistan that returns to deep instability as it has in the past, specifically in the 1990s, would be a cause for concern for Pakistan because it would probably bring greater instability inside Pakistan," says Daniel Markey, a Pakistan expert at the Council on Foreign Relations.

Karzai--for Islamabad's money--is a better bet to bring stability to Afghanistan than the relatively unknown Abdullah Abdullah.
 
 
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This article is written from the perspective of an important part of Pakistani society that despises both the Taliban and their sympathetic hosts in Pakistan. Liberals in Pakistan have come to terms with the fact that something is fundamentally wrong with the way the country is governed.  Money quote:

"The military in the past 60 years has been involved in three declared interstate wars resulting in two draws and one humiliating defeat. The military budget surpasses the health and education budgets combined. Our army heads have staged more coups than the armies of other South Asian countries. We should not kid ourselves into believing that the current military operation is under the strict control of the civilian administration. The military as the ultimate arbiter of what constitutes a threat to national security and how to deal with such threats is fraught with dangers. Supporting the military action against the Taliban is not the same as the military deciding when and how to deal with domestic dissent."

Click to Read More ----->
 
 
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Many are unaware that suicide bombers are not always terrorists by choice.  According to Pakistani officials, many children in Pakistan's Northwest Frontier Province are being kidnapped in order to "serve the cause."  In other cases, they are being bought and sold.

Still, the main way that terrorists recruit youth is through indoctrination and promises for a better future.  The only way to stop this is to improve education and offer these kids a better alternative to their currently miserable lives.
 
 
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Pakistan's education system has never been laudable.  But things are poised to get worse.  Millions of children are having their education interrupted indefinitely.  What is the future for kids who lose their childhood to war?

It is a toxic mix of mental scarring, helplessness, and poverty that will drive some of these youth to fundamentalism and terrorism.  To prevent this, these children must be offered a proper education and a path to a succesful future.  If we do not, then the Taliban will abduct them or recruit them to become suicide bombers.  And if that happens, no matter how many battles we win, we'll still lose the war.
 
 
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The political "godfather" of the Taliban in Pakistan has been arrested. This is the same guy who helped broker the ill-fated deal between the Pakistani State and the Taliban to allow Shariah law in Swat.

This is one of the many manifestations over the past few months that Pakistan has realized that Islamic extremism is a threat not just to America and India, but to Pakistan too.

 
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