Yup, it's that time again. Armenian Genocide Remembrance Day is this Saturday. For all that has transpired in over the past year (the Zurich Protocols, Football Diplomacy Part II, etc) it's remarkable how little the situation has actually changed. 

Thomas de Waal, a man who intimately understands Turkey, the Caucasus, and Russia, recently wrote an extremely thorough report on why Armenian-Turkish rapprochement has once again stalled and how the US should attempt to jump start the process:

In order to move away from this annual agony, it makes sense to reframe the Armenian–Turkish issue within a longer perspective. The coming centenary of the Armenian holocaust in five years’ time in 2015 and the growing debate within Turkey on the “Armenian question” gives impetus to this approach. In 2015—whether the Turks like it or not—the world will mark the anniversary of the Armenian tragedy. The president could deliver a message on April 24, 2010, in which he notes that the centenary commemorations are now five years away and pledges that, if still in office, he will join in those events (perhaps even in Yerevan), but in which he also promises the Turks a little peace until then by affirming his faith in the internal debate in Turkey. Obama could say, “We hope to mark his tragic date with our Turkish friends, and not without them,” and aspire to be a catalyst for Armenian–Turkish reconciliation.

Check out the full report here.